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RISMEDIA, October 26, 2009—Existing-home sales bounced back strongly in September with first-time buyers driving much of the activity, marking five gains in the past six months, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Existing-home sales–including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops–jumped 9.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million units in September from a level of 5.10 million in August, and are 9.2% higher than the 5.10 million-unit pace in September 2008. Sales activity is at the highest level in over two years, since it hit 5.73 million in July 2007. 

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said favorable conditions matched with a tax credit are boosting home sales. “Much of the momentum is from people responding to the first-time buyer tax credit, which is freeing many sellers to make a trade and buy another home,” he said. “We are hopeful the tax credit will be extended and possibly expanded to more buyers, at least through the middle of next year, because the rising sales momentum needs to continue for a few additional quarters until we reach a point of a self-sustaining recovery.” 

Even with the improvement, Yun said the market is underperforming. “Despite spectacular gains in the stock market, principally from the financial sector recovery, most of the 75 million home owning families have more wealth tied to their homes. Home values could soon turn consistently positive and help the broad base of middle-class families, but we are not there yet,” he said. “We’re getting early indications of price stabilization, but we need a steady supply of qualified buyers to meaningfully bring inventories down and return us to a period of normal, steady price growth and to fully remove consumer fears, which would then revive the broader economy. Without a firm foundation for middle-class wealth recovery, the post-recession economic growth likely will be one of the weakest in U.S. history.” 

Early information from a large annual consumer study to be released November 13, the 2009 National Association of Realtors® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, shows that first-time home buyers accounted for more than 45% of home sales during the past year. A separate practitioner survey shows that distressed homes accounted for 29% of transactions in September. 

NAR President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth, said affordability conditions remain historically high. “Potential first-time buyers can take heart in that affordability conditions this year are the highest on record dating back to 1970, but with the first-time buyer tax credit scheduled to expire at the end of next month, people could hold back from entering the market,” he said. “Our read is that housing overshot on the downside because homes are selling for less than replacement construction costs in much of the country, and the home price-to-income ratio has fallen below the historical average,” McMillan said. 

Total housing inventory at the end of September fell 7.5% to 3.63 million existing homes available for sale, which represents an 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace, down from an 9.3-month supply in August. Unsold inventory totals are 15.0% below a year ago. 

“The current housing supply is the lowest we’ve seen in two and a half years,” Yun said. “If we could continue to absorb inventory at this pace, home prices would return to normal, modest appreciation patterns next year. 

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 5.06% in September from 5.19% in August; the rate was 6.04% in September 2008. The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $174,900 in September, which is 8.5% lower than September 2008. Distressed properties continue to downwardly distort the median price because they generally sell at a discount relative to traditional homes in the same area. 

Single-family home sales rose 9.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.89 million in September from a pace of 4.47 million in August, and are 7.7% above the 4.54 million-unit level in September 2008. The median existing single-family home price was $174,900 in September, which is 8.1% below a year ago. Existing condominium and co-op sales jumped 9.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 units in September from 620,000 in August, and are 9.7% above the 561,000-unit pace a year ago. The median existing condo price was $175,100 in September, down 11.7% from September 2008. 

Northeast
Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast increased 4.4% to an annual level of 950,000 in September, and are 11.8% higher than September 2008. The median price in the Northeast was $234,700, down 7.0% from a year ago. 

Midwest
Existing-home sales in the Midwest jumped 9.6% in September to a pace of 1.25 million and are 7.8% above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $147,600, which is 1.0% below September 2008. 

South
In the South, existing-home sales rose 9.0% to an annual level of 2.06 million in September and are 10.8% higher than September 2008. The median price in the South was $153,500, down 7.6% from a year ago. 

West
Existing-home sales in the West surged 13.0% to an annual rate of 1.30 million in September and are 5.7% above a year ago. The median price in the West was $219,000, which is 15.0% below September 2008. 

For more information, visit www.realtor.org ^[2]. 

RISMedia welcomes your questions and comments. Send your e-mail to: realestatemagazinefeedback@rismedia.com ^[3]. 

For more top headlines on RISMedia.com, be sure to see:
Taking Advantage of Negotiation – U.S. Homebuyers Paid $7,039 Less Than Listing Price in July ^[4]
Taking Responsibility for Communication ^[5]

^[6]

Article printed from RISMedia: http://rismedia.com

URL to article: http://rismedia.com/2009-10-25/big-rebound-in-existing-home-sales-shows-first-time-buyer-momentum/

RISMEDIA, October 26, 2009—Existing-home sales bounced back strongly in September with first-time buyers driving much of the activity, marking five gains in the past six months, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Existing-home sales–including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops–jumped 9.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million units in September from a level of 5.10 million in August, and are 9.2% higher than the 5.10 million-unit pace in September 2008. Sales activity is at the highest level in over two years, since it hit 5.73 million in July 2007. 

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said favorable conditions matched with a tax credit are boosting home sales. “Much of the momentum is from people responding to the first-time buyer tax credit, which is freeing many sellers to make a trade and buy another home,” he said. “We are hopeful the tax credit will be extended and possibly expanded to more buyers, at least through the middle of next year, because the rising sales momentum needs to continue for a few additional quarters until we reach a point of a self-sustaining recovery.” 

Even with the improvement, Yun said the market is underperforming. “Despite spectacular gains in the stock market, principally from the financial sector recovery, most of the 75 million home owning families have more wealth tied to their homes. Home values could soon turn consistently positive and help the broad base of middle-class families, but we are not there yet,” he said. “We’re getting early indications of price stabilization, but we need a steady supply of qualified buyers to meaningfully bring inventories down and return us to a period of normal, steady price growth and to fully remove consumer fears, which would then revive the broader economy. Without a firm foundation for middle-class wealth recovery, the post-recession economic growth likely will be one of the weakest in U.S. history.” 

Early information from a large annual consumer study to be released November 13, the 2009 National Association of Realtors® Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, shows that first-time home buyers accounted for more than 45% of home sales during the past year. A separate practitioner survey shows that distressed homes accounted for 29% of transactions in September. 

NAR President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth, said affordability conditions remain historically high. “Potential first-time buyers can take heart in that affordability conditions this year are the highest on record dating back to 1970, but with the first-time buyer tax credit scheduled to expire at the end of next month, people could hold back from entering the market,” he said. “Our read is that housing overshot on the downside because homes are selling for less than replacement construction costs in much of the country, and the home price-to-income ratio has fallen below the historical average,” McMillan said. 

Total housing inventory at the end of September fell 7.5% to 3.63 million existing homes available for sale, which represents an 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace, down from an 9.3-month supply in August. Unsold inventory totals are 15.0% below a year ago. 

“The current housing supply is the lowest we’ve seen in two and a half years,” Yun said. “If we could continue to absorb inventory at this pace, home prices would return to normal, modest appreciation patterns next year. 

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 5.06% in September from 5.19% in August; the rate was 6.04% in September 2008. The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $174,900 in September, which is 8.5% lower than September 2008. Distressed properties continue to downwardly distort the median price because they generally sell at a discount relative to traditional homes in the same area. 

Single-family home sales rose 9.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.89 million in September from a pace of 4.47 million in August, and are 7.7% above the 4.54 million-unit level in September 2008. The median existing single-family home price was $174,900 in September, which is 8.1% below a year ago. Existing condominium and co-op sales jumped 9.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 units in September from 620,000 in August, and are 9.7% above the 561,000-unit pace a year ago. The median existing condo price was $175,100 in September, down 11.7% from September 2008. 

Northeast
Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast increased 4.4% to an annual level of 950,000 in September, and are 11.8% higher than September 2008. The median price in the Northeast was $234,700, down 7.0% from a year ago. 

Midwest
Existing-home sales in the Midwest jumped 9.6% in September to a pace of 1.25 million and are 7.8% above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $147,600, which is 1.0% below September 2008. 

South
In the South, existing-home sales rose 9.0% to an annual level of 2.06 million in September and are 10.8% higher than September 2008. The median price in the South was $153,500, down 7.6% from a year ago. 

West
Existing-home sales in the West surged 13.0% to an annual rate of 1.30 million in September and are 5.7% above a year ago. The median price in the West was $219,000, which is 15.0% below September 2008. 

For more information, visit www.realtor.org ^[2]. 

RISMedia welcomes your questions and comments. Send your e-mail to: realestatemagazinefeedback@rismedia.com ^[3]. 

For more top headlines on RISMedia.com, be sure to see:
Taking Advantage of Negotiation – U.S. Homebuyers Paid $7,039 Less Than Listing Price in July ^[4]
Taking Responsibility for Communication ^[5]

^[6]

Article printed from RISMedia: http://rismedia.com

URL to article: http://rismedia.com/2009-10-25/big-rebound-in-existing-home-sales-shows-first-time-buyer-momentum/

350 is the parts per million of atmospheric CO2 that scientists on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) have recommended as safe to avoid irreversible climate disasters. Just recently the level has approached 390. On October 24, people around the world and in the Hudson Valley will be taking to the streets urging world leaders for an immediate solution to the climate crises.  http://www.350.org/

In Ulster:

350 Climate Action Fair
1 pm
Hasbrouck Park,
New Paltz, NY

Experience your green future: cool cars; solar-powered, energy-saving stuff; windmills, etc. Enjoy  the outrageous climate change fashion show. Watch children make animal costumes, play gamesand use the 2,000-plastic-bag rope, listen to music from  Mid-Hudson bands, talk with local scientists about the ways climate change might affect our region, and taste local food and beverages. The final event is a group photo of hundreds of people spelling out "350" on the field.
Information: Ann Guenther (845) 626-2847, woodchuck@hvi.net

In the Hudson Valley:

Rally for a New Green Deal
Holy Light Pentecostal Church
2 pm
33 Clover St., Poughkeepsie, NY

Speakers include Melissa Everett (Sustainable Hudson Valley), Ned Sullivan (Scenic Hudson), Bishop Debra Gause (Holy Light Pentecostal Church), Pete Seeger, and many others. 
Information:  Joel Tyner (845)489-4579, joeltyner@earthlink.net
http://www.350.org/pt/node/5369

350.org Action on Climate Change
1-3 pm
North Galleria Drive (off Rt. 233, near the entrance to the Galleria Mall)
Middletown, NY
Hosted by Orange County Peace and Justice

Thanks to Hudson Valley for Obama, a founding member of the Hudson Valley Progressive Coalition, for the above information. 

Here are some of the factors that appraisers Joni L. Herndon of Real Property Analysts/Gulf Coast in Tampa, Fla., and John A. Hillas of Hulbert & Associates Inc. in Modesto, Calif., say they consider when determining value.

• Incentives and concessions. Most of today’s buyers expect to pay the lowest possible price and still get some extras. Sellers and home builders are offering money toward closing costs, remodeling and decorating, upgrades, and association dues. The price set initially may not be the final price once concessions are factored out. Appraisers care about that final number.

• Closing date. Forget what comparable neighborhood houses sold for a few months back. Appraisers want prices from the most recently closed transactions. “If a sale was more than 45 days ago, even 35, the price may be irrelevant,” Hillas says.

• Condition and curb appeal. Appraisers typically find several properties with similar interior and exterior features to determine value. When markets are healthy, blemishes matter less, but when markets soften, problems—a dated kitchen or barren lawn—can reduce prices and deter buyers. “The difference in value is not just the repair costs but the time and hassle to make them. It’s better for sellers to do work in advance,” Hillas says.

• Foreclosures. Appraisers technically shouldn’t consider neighborhood foreclosures when valuing a home, since foreclosures don’t meet the Appraisal Institute’s definition of a property reasonably exposed in a competitive market, says Herndon. “But when several neighborhood homes are abandoned, it’s hard not to caution sellers that this is a troubling trend and may affect home values,” she says.

• Changing demographics. If a house is in an up-and-coming area, the value can be expected to rise. A location that’s perceived as safe also may help attract the increasing number of single female buyers.

• Economic clouds. If there’s an oversupply of comparable homes for sale, or if the local job market is suffering, buyers may be hesitant to invest. Hillas advises setting prices aggressively from the get-go.

• Chemistry. It’s hard to account for those times when buyers fall in love with a house, despite a high price, poor condition, or tough economy. “Emotional attachment is a factor that can’t be predicted,” says Herndon. Hillas agrees, “It’s what makes it harder to appraise homes versus commercial buildings, where buyers care more about the bottom line.”

U.S. mortgage applications rise as rates plunge

Trend bodes well for hard-hit U.S. housing market

Read this article here:

updated 10:59 a.m. ET, Wed., Aug 19, 2009

NEW YORK - U.S. mortgage applications rose last week, largely reflecting a jump in demand for home refinancing loans as interest rates slid to a five-week low, data from an industry group showed on Wednesday.

Applications for loans to buy a home, an early indicator of sales, rose for a third consecutive week. The trend bodes well for the hard-hit U.S. housing market, which has been showing nascent signs of stabilization.

The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage applications, which includes both purchase and refinance loans, for the week ended August 14 increased 5.6 percent to 527.0.

Brad Geisen, president and CEO of real estate website Foreclosure.com, said the level of interest rates on mortgages plays less of a role in home buying than it does in refinancing activity.

"Probably the biggest driving factor for home purchasing right now is price," he said. "During the housing boom, a lot of first-time home buyers were squeezed out of the market, but now property values have come down enough where they can afford it."

Low mortgage rates, high affordability and the government's $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers -- part of the stimulus bill -- have helped pave the way for stabilization, he added.

"People now realize they can buy the home of their dreams at an affordable price," he said.

Borrowing costs on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, excluding fees, averaged 5.15 percent, down 0.23 percentage point from the previous week.

Saw a bluebird today on our fence - plump, rosy red breast and bright blue back.  Reminded me to put suet out for the birds.  As I did, a chickadee hustled into the nest in the wisteria by the garage, where he had a clear view of the suet holder. 

Everyone is keeping fingers crossed that Spring is on the way.  Seeing a lovely bluebird gives me hope. 

Reprinted from RISMEDIA

RISMEDIA, February 18, 2009-Suppose you’re behind on your house payments. You dial the phone number on your most recent mortgage statement, clear the usual hurdles, and finally reach someone who understands your situation and offers to help. You are one of the lucky homeowners who has a cooperative lender. Now what? What can you do to team up with your lender to optimize the outcome? This article reveals 10 ways you can expedite the process and negotiate an affordable loan modification that enables you to catch up on any missed payments, lower your monthly mortgage payment, and keep your house.

The following tips apply whether you are working directly with your lender or teaming up with an attorney or other professional you hired to represent your interest. If you hired professional representation, team up with your representative and defer all correspondence and phone calls from your lender to your representative - don’t communicate with your lender unless your representative specifically advises you otherwise.

Come clean - honesty is the best policy

It can be tempting to bend the truth when you are trying to convince a lender to approve a loan modification. Some homeowners are embarrassed by something they did to place their finances in jeopardy - possibly a gambling addiction of substance abuse. Others try to fudge the numbers to make themselves eligible for a loan modification they cannot otherwise qualify for. Even worse, some homeowners lie to their partners or try to conceal the problem until it is too late to do anything about it.
Only by laying all your cards on the table and disclosing the truth can you begin to attend to the root cause of your financial hardship and then develop and implement solutions that put you back on the path to long-term financial health.

Understand your lender’s point of view

Regardless of how you ended up in the situation you’re in, blaming the lender or the mortgage broker or loan officer who placed you in your current mortgage does little good, unless you can prove your point in court. Usually, you have a better chance of resolving the problem by understanding your lender’s point of view, even if you don’t agree with it.

So, what is the lender’s point of view?

Lenders lack any emotional attachment to the situation. To them, it all boils down to money. If you can show them that modifying your loan cost them less than a foreclosure and they believe you will honor the terms of the loan modification, they are likely to approve it. If not, then they are likely to reject it.

Keep in mind that some homeowners who don’t need loan modifications are also applying for them. Lenders need to protect their own interests from homeowners who are trying to cheat them out of their profits. As a result, they need to carefully screen out ineligible applicants, which can often make the process much more difficult and frustrating for homeowners who genuinely suffer financial hardship and need a loan modification.

Keep a cool head

Understandably, homeowners often become frustrated and angry when seeking assistance from their lender. Unfortunately, anger can result in the following:

“Accidental” disconnects: The customer service rep you’re speaking with may put you on hold permanently or hang up “accidentally.”

Lost files: Your file may get “lost” or “misplaced.”

Rejection: Your lender may decide that you are unreasonable and that foreclosing would be less costly overall.

A bad offer: Your lender may offer a workout solution that is worse than what you would get had you been nice about it. Or, you may be so exhausted that you agree with the first offer your lender puts on the table rather than negotiating a better deal rationally.

Tip: If you doubt your own ability to remain calm, cool, and collected during the entire process, consider hiring a professional to represent you.

Give them what they need

Prior to applying for a loan modification, call your lender or visit its website to obtain an application packet or a list of items you need to submit with your application. Some lenders allow you to apply online, but you usually have to ship or fax supporting documentation separately.

Find out exactly which forms you need to fill out and which documents your lender needs to process your application, and provide everything to your lender or representative in the manner specified. Label everything clearly and legibly with your name and loan number and provide a checklist of all items you’re submitting in your application packet. Arrange the items in the order listed by your lender, so whoever is processing your application does not have to search for items. Include a cover page that in large print lists your name and loan number as well as an items-included list.

Ask for what you want

Before discussing the terms of the loan modification with your lender, you should have a fairly clear idea of what you want and need. Answer the following questions for yourself. This will help you field questions from your lender:

- How much do you owe in late or missed payments?
- Can you catch up the missed payments?
- Do you need additional time to catch up on missed payments?
- How much can you realistically afford to pay each month?
- Do you really want to keep your home or would you prefer to sell if you could walk away not owing anything?
- State clearly what you want up front. If your lender is unwilling to agree to the terms you need, you’re better off knowing that up front, so you can explore other options. Don’t waffle - it will only lead to misunderstandings and unsatisfactory “solutions.”

Let them do their job

While you should track the process of your loan modification application and any negotiations, avoid the temptation to micromanage the process. Knowing the timeline in advance can help you develop realistic expectations of when you will hear back from someone, so you don’t have to keep calling to check progress. Remember, the more time they spend on the phone consoling anxious applicants, the less time they have to review your application and work out a solution.

The lender should have a timeline for just about every step in the process. Your lender can probably even tell you how many days it takes for items you fax in to get to where they need to be. Some lenders have a 4-day delivery period for faxed items. Most timelines are in place because of the volume of requests. Ask how long the steps in the process take. Follow up when timelines near expiration.

Get your financial house in order

Most homeowners, even those who can readily afford their monthly house payments, could benefit from reviewing their income and expenses and drawing up a monthly budget. If you don’t have some way of tracking income and expenses with realistic goals in mind, put a tracking system in place today and start developing a budget.

If you have a computer, a personal accounting program, such as Quicken or Microsoft Money can come in very handy. These programs allow you to assign each entry to a specific category, such as groceries, clothing, entertainment, utilities, auto insurance, auto: gas, auto: maintenance; and so on. You can then generate reports showing monthly totals for spending in each category.

If you’re budget challenged, consider hiring an accountant or credit counselor to get you on track. It’s worth the investment.

Keep everyone posted of any changes

If anything changes related to your financial situation, be sure to keep your representative or lender (if you’re negotiating the loan modification on your own) in the loop. Withholding information that may affect your eligibility could cause problems.

Make sure the lender’s offer is truly affordable

Assuming you qualify for a loan modification, your lender will present you with an offer. Be sure to review the offer carefully and have your attorney look it over - before you sign on the dotted line. Make sure the monthly payment is truly affordable. If the loan modification is unaffordable or makes your budget so tight that you’re only one car repair or medical bill away from defaulting again, head back to the negotiating table to try to work out a better deal. It doesn’t do you or your lender any good to accept an agreement that puts you on the path to repeating this same scenario.

Hold up your end of the bargain

By the time you finalize your agreement, you and your lender will have invested a great deal of time and effort in hammering out the details. To ensure long-term success, put some effort into keeping your budget on track. If you are having trouble, consult a credit counselor, who can help hold you accountable for your spending. Budgeting can be tough at first, but it pays huge dividends down the road. Most people who acquire the necessary skills discover that by tweaking their spending priorities they have more than enough to cover their expenses.

The key to success is discipline and commitment. All the effort you spend setting up a plan is of no use if you don’t follow the plan you created. It’s like signing up for a gym membership and then never walking through the doors to work out. Reestablishing your financial health will be work, but the results will be worth the effort. Like that gym membership, you won’t realize results over night, but commitment to the routine will pay off.

Remember, loan modification success is a team effort. Do your part to achieve long-term success.

Ralph R. Roberts is a consumer advocate, spokesperson for Federal Loan Modification Law Center, host of KeepMyHouse.com, and author of numerous books, including Foreclosure Self-Defense For Dummies. Ralph is based in Sterling Heights, Michigan and can be reached at RalphRoberts@RalphRoberts.com.

RISMedia welcomes your questions and comments. Send your e-mail to: realestatemagazinefeedback@rismedia.com.